Construction sector recovery continues in December, led by house building

Author: ross sturley cimcig

UK construction companies recorded a sustained rebound in business activity during December,
according to the latest PMI® data compiled by IHS Markit. Stronger order books helped to drive the
recovery across the construction sector, with survey respondents often citing work on projects that had
been delayed earlier in 2020.

Higher levels of demand led to a slight rise in employment numbers and greater demand for
construction inputs in December. However, stretched supply chains and delays at UK ports resulted in longer
delivery times and the fastest rate of input cost inflation since April 2019.

The headline seasonally adjusted IHS Markit/CIPS UK Construction Total Activity Index posted 54.6 in
December, little-changed from 54.7 in November and above the crucial 50.0 no-change threshold for the
seventh consecutive month.

Increased construction activity primarily reflected another sharp rise in house building during December
(index at 61.9). Commercial activity also expanded (51.2), but the rate of growth eased to its lowest since
the recovery began last June. Civil engineering was the weakest-performing category (48.0), with activity
falling for the fourth time in the past five months.

Total new orders increased at a strong pace in December, which extended the current period of
expansion to seven months. Survey respondents noted improving client demand, alongside a boost from new
business wins on construction projects that had been deferred at the start of the pandemic.
Rising workloads contributed to a sharp increase in purchasing activity at the end of 2020, with the rate of
expansion holding close to November's six-year high.

Some construction companies also cited efforts to bring forward input buying due to concerns about longer
lead times among suppliers. The latest downturn in vendor performance was the sharpest since June 2020
and more marked than any seen prior to the pandemic.

Purchasing prices increased at the steepest pace for just under two years, reflecting supply shortages
and strong demand for construction inputs. Survey respondents often cited rising prices for timber and

December data indicated a return to jobs growth in the construction sector, although the rate of expansion
was only marginal. Additional staff hiring reflected forthcoming new projects and improved confidence
about the business outlook. Exactly half of the survey panel (50%) forecast a rise in business activity over the
course of 2021, while only 10% anticipate a decline, which signalled the strongest optimism across the
construction sector since April 2017.

Tim Moore, Economics Director at IHS Markit, which compiles the survey, said: "December data illustrated a positive end to the year for the UK construction sector, mostly fuelled by a sharp rebound in house building. Overall output growth
has slowed in comparison to the catch-up phase last summer, but now it is encouraging to see the recovery
driven by new projects and stronger underlying demand.

"A sustained improvement in construction order books resulted in a rise in employment numbers for the first
time in nearly two years and the most optimistic growth expectations since April 2017. Construction companies
are hopeful that higher demand will broaden out beyond residential projects in the next 12 months, led by
infrastructure spending and a potential rebound in new commercial work from the depressed levels seen during
the pandemic.

"Transport delays and a lack of stock among suppliers were the main difficulties reported by UK construction
firms at the end of 2020, which contributed to the fastest rise in purchasing prices for nearly two years."